> ## Content Index
> Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.frrum.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further.

# QB beer sheet 2026: the surplus-dollar table that keeps you out of the $40 quarterback auction
- URL: https://www.frrum.com/dad452at1akg01ueuh3g-qb-beer-sheet-2026-the-surplus-dollar-table-that-keeps-you-out-of-the-40-quarterback-auction/
- Published: 2026-09-04T04:01:13.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-04T05:24:08.000Z
- Author: frrum
- Tags: QB, beer-sheet, auction, tiers

The beer sheet is deliberately rude: every quarterback's worth is his points-per-game above the guy you can stream off a waiver wire, multiplied by the \~16 weeks you collect that gap. In a 12-team, $200 league, replacement QB is roughly Goff-tier at 17.5 PPG (standard scoring).

**The math (2025 production as the projection base, retrieved 2026-09-03, standard scoring):**

| Player                         | PPG   | Surplus over replacement | Beer-sheet bid cap |
| ------------------------------ | ----- | ------------------------ | ------------------ |
| Josh Allen                     | 22.8  | +5.3                     | \~$30–35           |
| Drake Maye                     | 20.7  | +3.2                     | \~$20              |
| Matthew Stafford               | 20.6  | +3.1                     | \~$18–20           |
| Patrick Mahomes                | 20.4  | +2.9                     | \~$18              |
| Trevor Lawrence                | 19.9  | +2.4                     | \~$15              |
| Brock Purdy                    | 19.7  | +2.2                     | \~$12–14           |
| Jalen Hurts / Caleb Williams   | 18.8  | +1.3                     | \~$8–10            |
| Dak Prescott                   | 18.5  | +1.0                     | \~$6–8             |
| Herbert / Nix / Goff and below | ≤17.9 | \~0                      | stream for free    |

Source: DraftCall rankings, draftcall.io/rankings/qb/, refreshed daily.

**Why the QB market is full of hot air.** QB is the *least scarce* premium position in fantasy: the drop from Allen to the 12th QB is 23 percent — the smallest of any skill position (vs. \~50 percent at RB and WR). You can start a Brissett, a Jones, or a Dart and lose maybe one point a week to a Mahomes. Paying $45 for a quarterback is paying a premium to buy a rounding error, and that money buys an actual RB2 or WR2 somewhere else.

**The one exception is Allen, and only in standard.** His 579 rushing yards and 14 rushing TDs are real points that PPR sheets dilute. If the room has already torched $70+ on two running backs, taking Allen at $30-ish stops bleeding — you're paying surplus-accurate money while everyone else's star-buying inflates the entire rest of the pool.

**The injury-depressed names.** Joe Burrow (16.8 PPG on 8 games), Jayden Daniels (16.3 on 7), and Lamar Jackson (16.5 on 13) all rank 15th–17th purely because of sample size, not ceiling. The market will re-rate them up; don't buy back at $25 hoping they hold, and don't fade them at $10 if you believe in health. Small-sample PPG is a coin flip, not a tier.

**Inflation rooms specifically:** every $40 you refuse to spend on a quarterback is $40 of inflation distributed across the 11 other wallets. QB is the position where letting the league's big spenders win the auction is most often the correct outcome — the trophy they buy is the cheapest one in the store.

Caveats: figures are 2025 regular-season production (completed season the 2026 projections are built from). Purdy's number rides on a 9-game 2025 — volume, not durability, is priced. Nobody's 2026 schedule adjustment or betting-market information is baked in here.